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99% of CEOs Anticipate AI-Driven Layoffs Within Two Years

A Mercer survey finds 99% of CEOs expect AI-driven layoffs in the next two years, targeting junior roles despite uncertain returns on AI investments.

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QUICKFEEDAI
May 26, 2026

Nearly all CEOs surveyed now expect AI-driven layoffs within the next two years, according to a recent Mercer report. The survey reveals that 99% of executives foresee workforce reductions fueled by artificial intelligence, with entry-level and junior roles bearing the brunt of these cuts. This trend reflects a growing corporate push to replace lower-tier positions with AI tools, even as many leaders remain unsure about the financial benefits of their AI investments.

This widespread expectation of AI-driven layoffs highlights a significant shift in workforce dynamics. Companies are aggressively adopting AI to automate routine tasks and reduce labor costs, but the report underscores a disconnect: many CEOs admit that the returns on AI spending are still weak or unproven. Despite this uncertainty, the drive to streamline operations through AI is intensifying, particularly in roles that involve repetitive or easily automated work.

The broader industry context shows a tech landscape grappling with the balance between innovation and workforce impact. While AI promises efficiency gains, the human cost is becoming increasingly apparent. This survey adds to mounting evidence that AI adoption is not just about enhancing productivity but also about reshaping labor markets, especially for junior employees who often perform tasks most susceptible to automation.

Strategically, companies face a delicate challenge. They must weigh the potential cost savings from AI-driven layoffs against the risks of talent shortages and employee morale issues. The uncertain ROI on AI further complicates these decisions, suggesting that many firms are proceeding cautiously yet decisively. How businesses manage this transition will influence their competitive positioning and workforce stability in the coming years.

Looking ahead, the key question is how AI integration will evolve beyond entry-level roles and whether firms can demonstrate clearer returns on their AI investments. The next phase of AI adoption could redefine not just jobs but entire organizational structures, making this an area to watch closely.

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